بهینه‌سازی، تحلیل حساسیت و ارزیابی پتانسیل گرمایش جهانی سامانه تولید کلزا در شهرستان مهران

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 گروه مکانیک بیوسیستم، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه ایلام

2 دانش آموحته کارشناسی ارشد گروه بیوسیستم دانشگاه ایلام

3 گروه مهندسی بیوسیستم، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه ایلام

10.22034/jam.2026.72153.1361

چکیده

استفاده مؤثر و کارآمد از انرژی در سامانه‌های تولید محصولات کشاورزی یکی از ارکان اساسی دستیابی به کشاورزی پایدار و کاهش پیامدهای زیست‌محیطی محسوب می‌شود. هدف از این پژوهش، تحلیل مصرف انرژی، تحلیل حساسیت، بهینه‌سازی نهاده‌ها و بررسی آلایندگی‌های زیست‌محیطی سامانه تولید کلزا در شهرستان مهران بود. داده‌های مورد نیاز از طریق تکمیل پرسش‌نامه و مصاحبه حضوری با کشاورزان منطقه جمع‌آوری شد و مقادیر نهاده‌ها و ستانده‌ها به معادل انرژی تبدیل گردید. شاخص‌های انرژی شامل کارایی، بهره‌وری، شدت و انرژی خالص محاسبه شد، نتایج نشان داد کارایی و بهره‌وری انرژی به ترتیب برابر با 09/1 و 04/0 کیلوگرم بر مگاژول است. نتایج تحلیل حساسیت با استفاده از تابع تولید کابداگلاس نشان داد نهاده‌های ماشین‌آلات، سوخت دیزل، کود فسفر، آب آبیاری، سموم شیمیایی و بذر بر عملکرد محصول تأثیر مثبت و نهاده‌های نیروی انسانی، کود نیتروژن و الکتریسیته تأثیر منفی دارند. نتایج تحلیل پوششی داده‌ها (DEA) در شرایط بازگشت به مقیاس ثابت و متغیر نشان داد میانگین کارایی فنی، کارایی فنی خالص و کارایی مقیاس به ترتیب 45/87، 23/96 و 75/90 درصد است که بیانگر وجود ناکارایی فنی و مقیاس در بخش قابل توجهی از مزارع می‌باشد. همچنین مصرف نهاده­های سوخت دیزل با 24/1605 مگاژول در هکتار بیشترین و کود فسفر با 11/13 مگاژول در هکتار کمترین میزان مازاد مصرف را جهت بهینه‌سازی نهاده‌ها به خود اختصاص داده‌اند. بررسی انتشار گازهای گلخانه‌ای نشان داد مصرف الکتریسیته و سوخت دیزل به ترتیب در شرایط مرسوم 21/4749 و 16/706 کیلوگرم معادل دی‌اکسیدکربن در هکتار بوده که پس از بهینه‌سازی مصرف نهاده‌ها این مقادیر به ترتیب به 44/4392 و 25/588 کیلوگرم معادل دی‌اکسیدکربن در هکتار کاهش یافت. نتایج نشان می‌دهد بهینه‌سازی مصرف نهاده‌ها علاوه بر بهبود کارایی انرژی و اقتصادی، نقش مؤثری در کاهش آلایندگی‌های زیست‌محیطی و پتانسیل گرمایش جهانی سامانه تولید کلزا دارد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله [English]

Optimization, Sensitivity Analysis, and Global Warming Potential Assessment of the Canola Production System in Mehran County

نویسندگان [English]

  • amir azizpanah 1
  • hamidreza shirkhani 2
  • Kamran kheiralipour 3
  • aziz maraseli 3
1 Department of Biosystem Mechanics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ilam University
2 M.Sc. Graduate of the Department of Biosystems Engineering, Ilam University
3 Department of Biosystems Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Ilam University
چکیده [English]

Efficient energy management and reduction of environmental impacts are essential for sustainable agricultural production. This study aimed to optimize energy consumption, evaluate economic performance, and assess greenhouse gas emissions and global warming potential (GWP) of the canola production system in Mehran County. Data were collected through questionnaires and face-to-face interviews with farmers, and all inputs and outputs were converted into energy equivalents. Energy indices and economic indicators were calculated, and the Cobb–Douglas production function was applied to analyze input sensitivity. Technical, pure technical, and scale efficiencies were estimated using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). Results showed that diesel fuel and electricity were the main contributors to greenhouse gas emissions. Input optimization reduced CO₂, N₂O, and CH₄ emissions and significantly decreased GWP, while improving energy efficiency, economic viability, and overall sustainability of the production system.
Introduction
Canola (Brassica napus L.) is an important oilseed crop widely used for edible oil production, animal feed, and industrial applications. Expansion of canola cultivation has increased the consumption of energy-intensive inputs such as fossil fuels, chemical fertilizers, electricity, and agricultural machinery. Although these inputs improve yield, their excessive use raises production costs and intensifies environmental impacts, particularly greenhouse gas emissions and global warming potential. Evaluating energy consumption patterns and improving input efficiency are therefore essential for enhancing productivity and long-term sustainability. The Cobb–Douglas production function is commonly used to analyze input–output relationships and returns to scale, while Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) provides an effective tool for measuring technical efficiency and identifying input-saving potentials. In addition, assessing greenhouse gas emissions associated with agricultural inputs is critical for mitigating climate change. Accordingly, this study integrates energy, economic, efficiency, and environmental analyses to evaluate and optimize the canola production system in Mehran County.
Materials and Methods
Data were collected from 32 canola-producing farmers in Mehran County using questionnaires and face-to-face interviews. Quantities of all inputs and outputs were converted into energy equivalents based on standard coefficients. Energy indices, including energy efficiency, energy productivity, energy intensity, and net energy, were calculated to assess system performance and resource use efficiency. Economic indicators such as total production cost, gross income, net profit, and benefit-to-cost ratio were estimated to evaluate economic viability. Sensitivity analysis and the Cobb–Douglas production function were employed to determine the contribution and elasticity of different inputs to crop yield. Technical efficiency, pure technical efficiency, and scale efficiency were estimated using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) under constant and variable returns to scale. Greenhouse gas emissions (CO₂, N₂O, and CH₄) related to fuel, fertilizer, and electricity consumption were calculated, and global warming potential (GWP) was estimated to assess the environmental effects of input optimization.
 
Results and Discussion
The results indicated that diesel fuel and electricity consumption accounted for the largest share of greenhouse gas emissions and global warming potential in the canola production system. Optimization of input use, particularly through reducing excessive labor, nitrogen fertilizer, and electricity consumption and improving diesel fuel and phosphorus fertilizer management, led to a substantial reduction in CO₂, N₂O, and CH₄ emissions. Consequently, the GWP of the production system decreased significantly, demonstrating the effectiveness of targeted energy management strategies. DEA results revealed that a considerable number of farms operated below the efficiency frontier due to technical or scale inefficiencies. Adjusting input use enabled these farms to achieve optimal efficiency levels and resulted in potential energy savings of approximately 15–35% without reducing yield. These findings confirm that efficiency improvement can simultaneously enhance economic performance and environmental sustainability.
Conclusion
This study evaluated energy consumption, economic performance, and environmental impacts of the canola production system in Mehran County. Diesel fuel and electricity were identified as the major contributors to greenhouse gas emissions and global warming potential, emphasizing the importance of managing energy-intensive inputs. Optimizing input use specially reducing excessive labor, nitrogen fertilizer, and electricity consumption while improving diesel fuel and phosphorus fertilizer management significantly reduced CO₂, N₂O, and CH₄ emissions and lowered GWP. DEA results showed that many farms were technically or scale inefficient, and appropriate input adjustments could save 15–35% of energy without compromising yield. Sensitivity analysis using the Cobb–Douglas production function further confirmed the overuse of some inputs and the potential for yield improvement through optimal input allocation. Overall, integrating energy, economic, efficiency, and environmental analyses provides a practical and robust framework for improving the sustainability of mechanized canola production systems.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Energy
  • Sensitivity Analysis
  • Data Envelopment Analysis
  • Global Warming
  • Canola

مقالات آماده انتشار، پذیرفته شده
انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 24 مرداد 1405
  • تاریخ دریافت: 09 اردیبهشت 1405
  • تاریخ بازنگری: 24 مرداد 1405
  • تاریخ پذیرش: 24 مرداد 1405